ESPA Models to Scenarios Workshop
Modelling and scenario development are central to a number of Ecosystem Services for Poverty Alleviation (ESPA) projects, yet the terms are used loosely and in different ways. The goal of the workshop was to develop a shared understanding of how models and scenarios can best be used for ESPA research, and to develop links among approaches that would support individual projects and the ESPA programme more generally.
One central question concerned how a research-based understanding of ecosystem services, and their role in poverty alleviation, could be used to develop approaches to sustainable poverty alleviation over a 20–40 year timescale. This timescale is challenging because it is longer than the simple projections of current trends (usually 5–10 years), but shorter than the timescales that many scenario and visioning processes tend to use (often 50 years).
A brief report from the workshop is available here.
Key presentations from the workshop are available below: