Ecosystem service sustainability and poverty reduction under land use change: A case study in Yunnan Province, China

Lead PI
Professor Shaun Quegan
University of Sheffield, Applied Mathematics
Start Date
1 July, 2010
End Date
31 December, 2010
Project Code

We aimed to develop a consortium project to build an integrated landscape-scale biophysical model to assess the temporal and spatial impacts on ES of forest-management policies in Yunnan, especially those arising under the SLCP and NFPP.

We identified the explicit linkages between this model and poverty indicators, particularly for the rural poor, and used these tools to explore forest policy and management options that optimised the delivery of landscape protection, ES and poverty alleviation benefits, across local to catchment scales, now and into the future. We used participatory assessment of ES and livelihood strategies, modelling of catchment scale biophysical processes, spatial Bayesian Networks to model the interaction between ES and poverty, economic valuation, understanding of governance processes, and social-ecological system modelling, to predict the level of ES provision and poverty under different policy and climate scenarios. This created a decision tool for use in policy design in China and inform the growing international debate about bringing ES into the mainstream of policy-making.

We brought together a leading UK academic institution (University of Sheffield), a high profile international NGO specialising in applied research (IISD) and a UK private consultancy with proven experience and excellent contacts in China (Scott Wilson Ltd), to produce research that was both cutting edge and relevant. We developed partnerships with government and research institutions at the national (Beijing) and regional/local (Yunnan) level, gained input from NGOs and used participatory approaches to involve local communities. Integration of their experience and expertise into the research development from the outset was key and ensured that the decision-tool met their needs, balancing the need to develop with the conservation of ES.

Many of the poorest people in the world rely on the benefits provided to them by ecosystems, or ecosystem services (ES), at a subsistence level. Decision-making leads to changes in the physical and biological environment, affecting the provision of ES, and thus levels of poverty, at spatial scales from local to global, and temporal scales from the present to centuries. Currently, decision-support approaches lack an integrated modelling framework that can cope with the interactions between biophysical processes, socio-economic behaviours and governance (the structures and processes by which society makes decisions and shares power), and provide tools to support decision-making among the web of stakeholders which manage various aspects of ES.

A major scientific challenge was to develop a quantitative approach that could link the biophysical effects of decisions with their impact on different ES in order to predict how they would affect the livelihood of communities across these various scales. Yunnan Province, China, was characterised by high rates of poverty, most of the poor living in fragile mountainous ecosystems with low agricultural potential and dependent on a range of ES provided by the forested slopes. These ES played a vital role in sustaining human well-being, not just at the local scale, but also for communities at the wider catchment, national and international scales (e.g. flood control, carbon sequestration). The exploitation of these ES, driven by intensification of local agriculture, development and forestry policies, had caused rapid land-use change, which had led to soil erosion, flooding and the subsequent loss of ES. Responding to this the Chinese government had introduced two policies, the Sloping Lands Conversion Policy (SLCP), and the Natural Forest Protection Programme (NFPP). However, these centrally enforced programmes have led to negative impacts on livelihoods, ES provision and the wider environment. 

Name Role Organisation Country
Professor Shaun Quegan China
Professor Shaun Quegan Lead Principal Investigator University of Sheffield United Kingdom
Dr Alison Holt Co Investigator University of Sheffield United Kingdom
Professor David Lerner Co Investigator University of Sheffield United Kingdom
Dr Laszlo Pinter Co Investigator International Inst for Sustainable Dev Canada
Dr Jeremy Richardson Co Investigator Scott Wilson Ltd United Kingdom
Professor John Wainwright Co Investigator Durham University United Kingdom